A year goes by and it is time to revise how well the predctions from the previous year went. i will only give a rundown since it would take a awhile to truly analyze them.
For 2008
- Truly powerful and useful widgets thanks to Flex and Silverlight
- Â More blurring of the lines thanks to new hybrid widgets getting into the desktops thanks to the very same plugins.
- Widget as mobile apps getting noticed and used broadly
- Modular widgets implementations getting inside all kind of web services
- Widget support in E-mail
- Feedsync derived Widgets
- Google and Yahoo caving in and finally giving direct support for Windows Vista Sidebar
- Web to Vista sidebar and OS X dashboard in one click from all major distribuitors
- a war of universal widget platforms
- widgets getting into appliances, from frames to kitchen boards.
The Results:
- it got halfway to be true. but it is happening in a very slow fashion.
- also happening but given JavaFX delay, that pretty much no one to advantage of Flash and Flex OS layering techniques and that Silverlight 2 is still not mature enough. it is not happening directly from the browser.but in terms of AIR, Titanium and SSB`s like Fluid, Bubbles and special projects like Moolight Desklets and Desklighter. i would say i got it right.
- Â Totally. Â this is something the Apple pretty much archived with both some of the native apps and the web apps you can use in the iPhone and Ipod Touch
- Yes. Â not broadly. but happening.Â
- Yes!. i got it totally right. just not in the way i expected. gmail got widgets, the new AOL mail two versions got widget or widgetization. the new hotmail got widget modules and Yahoo is also rolling widgetization for its e-mail. Â i could say it did happened.
- Demoed as part of the Live FX framework. but we cannot access them yet. so. pretty much not yet.
- Blatant NO. this one i blew it completely. i am actually really surprised it didn`t happen. Â
- Yes. High Spread Sharing modules gave me that one right. gigya, clearspring, springwidgets,etc now export widget from the web to the OS started with a click.
- It happened. not as heated and fast paced as needed but it happened with OpenSocial, FBL, Netvibes, Social Network specific, mobile widgets, etc. just that it pretty much created a standar of action and the platforms have been able to live with each other all right so far.Â
- YES!. they are now indeed in appliances from photo frames, to kitchen boards to things like the chumby.
Overall. i would say it went very well for me. i got 6 solid yes. 3 half into a yes but that should be considered a tie, and 1 solid no.
Not bad at all.
Now For 2009
- consolidation of powerful and useful widgets thanks to Flex, JavaFX and Silverlight
- Â Lines get fully blurred from the desktop to the browser because of Os Layering, Widget-App Engines and SSB clients.Â
- Consolidation of Widget-apps in mobiles thanks to mobile RIA platforms. that are exactly the same ones dominating the desktopÂ
- Widgetization in pretty much all online service
- Live FX Framework Widgets now out and showing a new game for Widgets and Widget-apps
- Google and Yahoo caving in and finally giving direct support for Windows Vista Sidebar
- Widgets get into a Socialization Frenzy
- Widgets get into a Federated Identity Connector Frenzy
- Widgets turn heavy into branding and entertainment. a blur of Widget Utilities and Widget Advertising starts to happen. a small backlash to follow thanks to that and the ties of widgets with Identity and Sociality
- Widgets hit big money as engagement, branding and code portability gain the spotlight
I pretty much retooled some of 2008 and added some new ones given what happened in the last 4 months of 2008. lets see if i can get beyond the not so bad 75% of accuracy i had this year..
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